Structural reform
This chapter presents the latest assessment of transition challenges in the EBRD regions, looking at whether economies are competitive, well governed, green, inclusive, resilient and integrated. Over the last year, scores in the areas of inclusion and integration have increased substantially on the back of previous reforms, while scores for governance have declined. Across all areas, improvements have been concentrated mainly in central Europe, the Baltic states and south-eastern Europe, while declines have mostly been observed in the southern and eastern Mediterranean region, and eastern Europe and the Caucasus.
Introduction
This chapter presents the latest assessment of transition challenges in the EBRD regions, tracking progress in the area of structural reform. It focuses on six key qualities of a sustainable market economy, looking at whether economies are competitive, well governed, green, inclusive, resilient and integrated. For each quality, progress is assessed on a scale of 1 to 10, where 1 denotes the worst possible performance and 10 corresponds to the standards of a sustainable market economy. Those “assessment of transition qualities” (ATQ) scores are based on a wide range of external and internal data sources and calculated in accordance with a detailed methodology (see Chart 5.1).1
Source: EBRD.
Note: Scores are on a scale of 1 to 10, where 10 represents a synthetic frontier corresponding to the standards of a sustainable market economy. Chapter 5 treats Greece as part of the SEE region.
Competitive | Well governed | Green | Inclusive | Resilient | Integrated | |||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2023 | 2022 | 2016 | 2023 | 2022 | 2016 | 2023 | 2022 | 2016 | 2023 | 2022 | 2016 | 2023 | 2022 | 2016 | 2023 | 2022 | 2016 | |
Central Europe and the Baltic States | ||||||||||||||||||
Croatia | 5.35 | 5.26 | 5.38 | 6.08 | 6.13 | 6.21 | 6.67 | 6.44 | 5.83 | 6.73 | 6.71 | 6.42 | 6.97 | 6.99 | 6.41 | 6.54 | 6.39 | 5.95 |
Czech Republic | 5.78 | 5.89 | 5.88 | 7.41 | 7.36 | 7.00 | 7.07 | 6.83 | 6.46 | 6.91 | 6.99 | 6.68 | 7.87 | 7.86 | 7.90 | 7.44 | 7.87 | 7.77 |
Estonia | 6.88 | 6.80 | 6.72 | 8.70 | 8.69 | 8.52 | 6.77 | 6.52 | 6.04 | 7.66 | 7.53 | 7.19 | 7.87 | 7.80 | 7.67 | 8.00 | 7.76 | 7.24 |
Hungary | 5.51 | 5.57 | 5.34 | 5.97 | 6.04 | 5.78 | 6.60 | 6.35 | 5.99 | 6.14 | 5.96 | 5.82 | 7.23 | 7.26 | 6.90 | 7.62 | 7.63 | 7.28 |
Latvia | 5.67 | 5.45 | 5.62 | 7.52 | 7.36 | 6.84 | 7.01 | 6.75 | 6.10 | 6.96 | 6.84 | 6.44 | 7.53 | 7.50 | 7.31 | 7.26 | 6.89 | 7.28 |
Lithuania | 5.90 | 5.78 | 5.94 | 7.89 | 7.89 | 7.28 | 6.84 | 6.57 | 6.23 | 7.17 | 6.94 | 6.92 | 7.46 | 7.46 | 7.03 | 7.54 | 7.38 | 6.81 |
Poland | 5.80 | 5.79 | 5.80 | 6.77 | 6.90 | 7.36 | 6.74 | 6.50 | 6.37 | 6.91 | 6.82 | 6.63 | 7.95 | 7.97 | 7.78 | 6.83 | 6.76 | 6.52 |
Slovak Republic | 5.66 | 5.60 | 5.59 | 6.36 | 6.36 | 6.23 | 7.24 | 7.00 | 6.68 | 6.69 | 6.67 | 6.41 | 7.89 | 7.93 | 7.78 | 7.10 | 7.02 | 7.25 |
Slovenia | 5.65 | 5.64 | 5.68 | 7.22 | 7.30 | 7.19 | 7.15 | 6.93 | 6.52 | 7.13 | 7.06 | 6.77 | 8.01 | 7.99 | 7.61 | 7.21 | 7.08 | 6.82 |
South-eastern Europe | ||||||||||||||||||
Albania | 4.68 | 4.74 | 4.60 | 4.71 | 4.74 | 5.28 | 4.71 | 4.71 | 4.71 | 5.22 | 5.08 | 4.63 | 4.85 | 4.88 | 4.60 | 5.05 | 5.14 | 4.90 |
Bosnia and Herzegovina | 4.37 | 4.32 | 4.38 | 4.09 | 4.17 | 4.68 | 5.01 | 4.81 | 4.55 | 5.07 | 5.03 | 4.85 | 5.32 | 5.30 | 5.23 | 4.97 | 4.84 | 4.48 |
Bulgaria | 4.88 | 4.82 | 4.82 | 5.95 | 6.14 | 5.83 | 6.27 | 6.03 | 5.42 | 5.80 | 5.64 | 5.45 | 6.31 | 6.33 | 6.16 | 6.66 | 6.49 | 6.51 |
Greece | 5.34 | 5.18 | 5.69 | 5.93 | 6.02 | 5.70 | 6.46 | 6.20 | 5.79 | 6.57 | 6.56 | 6.48 | 7.33 | 7.26 | 6.93 | 6.93 | 6.58 | 5.81 |
Kosovo | 4.92 | 4.88 | 4.64 | 4.85 | 4.87 | 4.92 | 3.49 | 3.52 | 3.38 | 5.16 | 5.06 | 5.14 | 4.80 | 4.81 | 4.41 | 4.66 | 4.65 | 4.20 |
Montenegro | 5.05 | 5.05 | 4.87 | 6.34 | 6.32 | 5.93 | 5.56 | 5.35 | 4.90 | 5.41 | 5.37 | 4.98 | 5.48 | 5.50 | 5.29 | 5.98 | 5.90 | 5.36 |
North Macedonia | 4.78 | 4.65 | 4.62 | 5.44 | 5.43 | 5.76 | 5.55 | 5.16 | 4.75 | 5.01 | 4.91 | 4.80 | 5.53 | 5.51 | 5.17 | 6.08 | 5.69 | 5.18 |
Romania | 5.56 | 5.54 | 5.34 | 6.16 | 6.24 | 5.99 | 6.35 | 6.12 | 5.78 | 5.96 | 5.89 | 5.84 | 6.94 | 6.94 | 6.70 | 6.27 | 6.19 | 5.88 |
Serbia | 4.93 | 4.94 | 4.82 | 5.94 | 5.96 | 5.72 | 5.25 | 5.14 | 4.89 | 5.39 | 5.42 | 5.11 | 5.58 | 5.60 | 5.44 | 6.03 | 6.01 | 5.55 |
Türkiye | 5.32 | 5.33 | 5.33 | 5.84 | 5.96 | 5.96 | 5.09 | 5.04 | 4.75 | 5.14 | 5.19 | 4.88 | 6.96 | 6.93 | 6.98 | 5.75 | 5.63 | 5.71 |
Eastern Europe and the Caucasus | ||||||||||||||||||
Armenia | 4.07 | 4.13 | 3.86 | 6.26 | 6.34 | 5.80 | 5.51 | 5.51 | 5.15 | 4.97 | 4.94 | 4.69 | 5.84 | 5.87 | 5.36 | 5.32 | 5.35 | 4.95 |
Azerbaijan | 3.89 | 3.91 | 3.95 | 5.62 | 5.79 | 5.19 | 4.87 | 4.88 | 4.58 | 4.82 | 4.89 | 4.75 | 3.61 | 3.80 | 3.59 | 5.02 | 5.33 | 5.35 |
Georgia | 4.42 | 4.36 | 4.21 | 6.28 | 6.34 | 6.46 | 5.15 | 5.17 | 4.80 | 4.98 | 4.99 | 4.75 | 5.63 | 5.60 | 4.75 | 6.39 | 6.24 | 5.93 |
Moldova | 4.38 | 4.40 | 4.18 | 5.04 | 4.96 | 4.52 | 4.52 | 4.43 | 4.07 | 4.81 | 4.82 | 4.76 | 5.24 | 5.08 | 4.66 | 4.70 | 4.70 | 4.60 |
Ukraine | 4.38 | 4.42 | 4.45 | 4.40 | 4.44 | 4.10 | 5.40 | 5.34 | 5.00 | 5.33 | 5.38 | 5.23 | 4.92 | 5.06 | 4.36 | 5.14 | 5.31 | 4.97 |
Central Asia | ||||||||||||||||||
Kazakhstan | 4.71 | 4.74 | 4.66 | 5.87 | 5.92 | 5.61 | 5.08 | 5.09 | 4.62 | 5.47 | 5.34 | 5.04 | 5.50 | 5.53 | 5.39 | 4.74 | 4.94 | 4.78 |
Kyrgyz Republic | 3.65 | 3.74 | 3.47 | 4.11 | 4.28 | 4.24 | 4.75 | 4.76 | 4.35 | 4.31 | 4.27 | 4.19 | 4.54 | 4.45 | 4.56 | 3.91 | 3.95 | 4.09 |
Mongolia | 3.68 | 3.63 | 3.98 | 4.84 | 4.88 | 5.33 | 4.71 | 4.69 | 4.62 | 5.06 | 4.93 | 4.62 | 4.79 | 4.79 | 4.57 | 5.29 | 5.32 | 4.89 |
Tajikistan | 3.24 | 3.19 | 3.12 | 4.56 | 4.60 | 4.10 | 5.16 | 5.17 | 5.01 | 3.54 | 3.48 | 3.35 | 3.51 | 3.51 | 3.10 | 3.51 | 3.59 | 3.06 |
Turkmenistan | 2.92 | 2.92 | 3.12 | 2.75 | 2.71 | 2.69 | 4.46 | 4.46 | 4.52 | 3.75 | 3.71 | 3.55 | 3.14 | 3.13 | 3.10 | 3.88 | 3.97 | 3.99 |
Uzbekistan | 3.52 | 3.50 | 3.14 | 4.85 | 4.86 | 4.60 | 5.24 | 5.25 | 4.72 | 3.91 | 3.83 | 3.63 | 3.88 | 3.83 | 3.45 | 4.73 | 4.68 | 3.82 |
Southern and eastern Mediterranean | ||||||||||||||||||
Egypt | 3.36 | 3.25 | 3.41 | 5.44 | 5.54 | 4.77 | 4.73 | 4.73 | 4.24 | 3.72 | 3.73 | 3.71 | 4.77 | 4.76 | 4.33 | 5.12 | 5.27 | 4.57 |
Jordan | 4.33 | 4.32 | 4.31 | 5.97 | 5.90 | 5.95 | 5.03 | 5.03 | 5.25 | 4.32 | 4.38 | 3.98 | 5.34 | 5.34 | 4.93 | 5.36 | 5.36 | 5.72 |
Lebanon | 3.77 | 3.79 | 3.89 | 3.51 | 3.57 | 3.92 | 4.75 | 4.75 | 4.70 | 3.96 | 3.67 | 4.01 | 3.18 | 3.18 | 4.25 | 4.93 | 4.86 | 5.08 |
Morocco | 3.79 | 3.80 | 3.69 | 5.67 | 5.82 | 5.44 | 5.08 | 5.10 | 5.04 | 4.19 | 4.19 | 3.97 | 5.17 | 5.17 | 4.95 | 4.95 | 4.94 | 4.77 |
Tunisia | 3.83 | 3.83 | 3.77 | 4.72 | 4.89 | 5.09 | 4.62 | 4.62 | 4.42 | 4.38 | 4.38 | 4.29 | 4.64 | 4.64 | 4.24 | 4.69 | 4.69 | 4.39 |
West Bank and Gaza | 2.99 | 3.00 | 2.84 | 3.81 | 3.90 | 3.75 | 4.14 | 4.14 | 3.91 | 3.21 | 3.21 | 3.39 | 4.12 | 4.12 | 3.84 | 4.07 | 4.03 | 3.85 |
Advanced comparators | ||||||||||||||||||
Canada | 6.67 | 6.44 | 6.70 | 8.71 | 8.72 | 9.02 | 6.93 | 6.92 | 6.34 | 8.15 | 8.11 | 8.07 | 8.17 | 8.18 | 8.06 | 7.14 | 7.01 | 7.14 |
Cyprus | 5.71 | 5.69 | 6.10 | 7.29 | 7.42 | 7.09 | 6.78 | 6.54 | 5.82 | 7.27 | 7.29 | 6.99 | 6.03 | 6.02 | 5.40 | 7.46 | 7.74 | 7.25 |
France | 6.86 | 6.86 | 7.02 | 8.68 | 8.69 | 8.97 | 7.78 | 7.53 | 7.64 | 8.53 | 8.51 | 8.36 | 8.38 | 8.35 | 8.31 | 7.89 | 7.94 | 7.71 |
Germany | 6.79 | 6.76 | 6.74 | 8.34 | 8.35 | 8.21 | 7.30 | 7.05 | 7.21 | 8.14 | 8.12 | 8.04 | 8.29 | 8.29 | 8.18 | 7.86 | 7.73 | 7.47 |
Japan | 7.27 | 7.29 | 7.23 | 9.11 | 9.12 | 9.32 | 7.78 | 7.54 | 7.61 | 8.59 | 8.62 | 8.51 | 8.07 | 8.02 | 7.88 | 7.58 | 7.69 | 7.70 |
Sweden | 7.66 | 7.77 | 7.77 | 8.66 | 8.69 | 9.11 | 7.34 | 7.10 | 7.12 | 8.19 | 7.99 | 8.19 | 8.25 | 8.24 | 8.12 | 7.59 | 7.94 | 7.81 |
United Kingdom | 6.51 | 6.55 | 6.54 | 8.75 | 8.77 | 8.68 | 7.18 | 7.17 | 7.14 | 8.18 | 8.18 | 7.96 | 7.71 | 7.71 | 7.75 | 6.76 | 6.95 | 6.81 |
United States of America | 7.38 | 7.26 | 7.49 | 8.71 | 8.73 | 8.75 | 5.92 | 5.69 | 6.40 | 7.93 | 7.96 | 7.81 | 9.02 | 8.99 | 8.92 | 6.87 | 6.95 | 7.08 |
Other comparators | ||||||||||||||||||
Bangladesh | 3.37 | 3.39 | 3.33 | 5.65 | 5.74 | 5.53 | 3.77 | 3.77 | 3.73 | 3.30 | 3.20 | 3.15 | 5.94 | 5.95 | 5.66 | 3.94 | 3.95 | 3.88 |
Belarus | 4.33 | 4.31 | 4.02 | 4.55 | 4.79 | 4.60 | 5.54 | 5.48 | 5.40 | 6.02 | 5.98 | 6.06 | 3.67 | 3.67 | 3.49 | 5.62 | 5.59 | 5.05 |
Brazil | 4.36 | 4.29 | 4.18 | 5.84 | 5.87 | 5.89 | 5.38 | 5.36 | 5.36 | 5.05 | 4.98 | 5.10 | 6.30 | 6.33 | 6.02 | 4.79 | 4.63 | 4.53 |
Colombia | 4.09 | 4.25 | 4.02 | 6.08 | 6.20 | 6.22 | 5.36 | 5.35 | 5.22 | 4.56 | 4.54 | 4.60 | 6.18 | 6.28 | 5.97 | 5.22 | 5.23 | 4.93 |
Mexico | 4.42 | 4.47 | 4.29 | 6.09 | 6.16 | 6.21 | 5.40 | 5.38 | 5.26 | 4.59 | 4.57 | 4.45 | 6.24 | 6.26 | 5.89 | 5.49 | 5.60 | 5.46 |
Russia | 4.81 | 4.86 | 4.75 | 5.52 | 5.69 | 5.38 | 5.61 | 5.61 | 5.04 | 5.48 | 5.52 | 5.36 | 6.27 | 6.30 | 5.93 | 4.78 | 4.98 | 5.01 |
South Africa | 5.04 | 5.01 | 4.92 | 6.94 | 6.90 | 6.58 | 4.92 | 4.87 | 4.61 | 4.67 | 4.62 | 4.46 | 6.03 | 6.05 | 5.80 | 5.79 | 5.72 | 5.31 |
Thailand | 5.44 | 5.34 | 5.41 | 7.30 | 7.42 | 7.87 | 4.19 | 4.25 | 4.32 | 4.21 | 4.16 | 4.21 | 5.87 | 5.88 | 5.41 | 5.34 | 5.24 | 5.49 |
Source: EBRD.
Note: Scores are on a scale of 1 to 10, where 10 represents a synthetic frontier corresponding to the standards of a sustainable market economy. Scores for years prior to 2023 have been updated following methodological changes, so they may differ from those published in previous Transition Reports. Owing to lags in the availability of underlying data, ATQ scores for 2023 and 2022 may not fully correspond to developments in those calendar years.
Changes to scores since 2016
Competitiveness
Competitiveness scores have improved modestly in many economies in the EBRD regions over the last year, with notable increases being observed in Egypt, Greece, Latvia, Lithuania and North Macedonia. This is primarily a result of further incremental improvements in labour productivity and the quality of logistics services. Meanwhile, minor deteriorations have been recorded in the Czech Republic and the Kyrgyz Republic, driven mainly by declines in labour productivity and a reduction in exports of advanced business services (including information, telecommunication and financial services).
Governance
Governance scores, in contrast, have mostly deteriorated over the last year. Declines have been driven mainly by reduced compliance with standards aimed at tackling money laundering and the financing of terrorism (AML/CFT standards), the erosion of press freedom and increases in perceived corruption. There have been a few exceptions, however – notably Latvia and Moldova, where the use of e-government services has increased.
Green economy
Green scores have improved somewhat over the last year, reflecting increased production of renewable energy in many economies in emerging Europe, greater protection of land and maritime areas, and a reduction in fossil fuel subsidies in the CEB region. Meanwhile, small declines have been observed in Georgia, Kosovo, the Kyrgyz Republic and Morocco, driven by increases in fossil fuel subsidies and a reduction in the production of renewable energy.
Inclusion
Over the last year, inclusion scores have improved in many economies – particularly Bulgaria, Estonia, Hungary, Lebanon, Lithuania and Mongolia. Those improvements have mainly been due to increased labour force participation (including for women), declines in the percentage of young people who are not in employment, education or training, and increases in the quality of trade and transport infrastructure. In Lebanon and Mongolia, those better scores have been driven mainly by the greater affordability of fixed broadband.
In contrast, notable deteriorations have been recorded in Azerbaijan, the Czech Republic, Jordan and Türkiye, driven primarily by the reduced affordability of fixed broadband services. In Jordan and Türkiye, those declines also stem from the worsening of national frameworks for ensuring equal treatment and preventing discrimination.
Resilience
ATQ scores for resilience cover issues pertaining to (i) energy security and (ii) financial stability. Energy resilience scores have only changed very modestly over the last year, with the exception of Ukraine (where the operations of the state-owned gas company have been negatively impacted by the war).
Integration
Over the last year, integration scores have increased significantly in Bulgaria, Estonia, Greece, Latvia, Lithuania and North Macedonia, driven mainly by improvements in the quality of transport and logistics services. In contrast, notable deteriorations have been seen in Azerbaijan, the Czech Republic, Egypt, Kazakhstan and Ukraine. In Azerbaijan, that lower score reflects a decline in FDI inflows as a percentage of GDP. In the Czech Republic and Kazakhstan, lower scores reflect deterioration in the quality of transport and logistics services and a reduction in portfolio inflows (with the Czech Republic’s integration score remaining relatively high, despite that recent downward adjustment). In Egypt, portfolio inflows have declined, while the price of mobile broadband has increased. And in Ukraine, transport and trade infrastructure have been adversely impacted by the war, as have trade volumes.
References
WEF (2016)
The Global Competitiveness Report 2016-2017, Geneva.
WEF (2019)
The Global Competitiveness Report 2019, Geneva.
Methodological notes
Transition indicators: six qualities of a sustainable market economy
The transition indicators reflect the judgement of the EBRD’s Office of the Chief Economist, the Impact and Partnerships department, and the Policy Strategy and Delivery department on the transition progress in the economies where the EBRD invests. According to this approach, a sustainable market economy is characterised by six qualities: competitive, well governed, green, inclusive, resilient and integrated.
This approach measures the state of each quality and its components in a given economy, as compared with the other economies in the EBRD regions and a few select developed economies,1 against a frontier. The frontier is set either by the best performance in this group of economies or by an unobserved theoretical value, and provides a common benchmark against which all economies are assessed consistently and comparably. The same frontier values are also applied across the years to ensure that computed scores are comparable and capture changes in underlying indicators through time.
Assessment of transition qualities (ATQ) scores are composite indices combining information from a large number of indicators and assessments in a consistent manner. The underlying indicators within each ATQ score are constructed using a wide range of sources, including national and industry statistics, data from other international organisations and affiliated databases (the World Bank, the International Monetary Fund [IMF], the United Nations); surveys (the Business Environment and Enterprise Performance Survey (BEEPS); the Life in Transition Survey (LiTS) and assessments prepared internally by EBRD experts (see Table M.1 below for the list of indicators).
The computation of ATQ indices involves multiple steps, namely: data preparation, normalisation and aggregation. Details of each of these steps are provided below.
Data preparation and treatment of missing observations
The underlying data for the majority of indicators either enter the composite index directly or are scaled using a meaningful related measure. A number of indicators may themselves be composite indices (for example, the EBRD SME index or EBRD Knowledge Economy index) and they enter the ATQ composites in index form. No further transformation is applied to the underlying indicators before normalisation. For some indicators, no data is available for the current year and simple imputation methods are used.2 One method of imputation uses the latest available observation from past years, thus assuming that no change from the latest available observation has been observed. When there are no past or present observations available for a particular indicator, then, based on the judgement of EBRD experts, either the regional mean (using the EBRD classification of regions for the economies where it invests) or the observed regional minima are used to impute the missing observations.
To mitigate the effect that extreme values may have on scores, observations that lie above the 98th percentile are considered outliers and replaced by the next value within the acceptable range. Outlier detection and replacement is only applied to select continuous variables.
Normalisation
The raw data for each indicator are normalised to the same scale using the min-max normalisation method as follows:
The resulting scores are then rescaled from 1 to 10, where 10 represents the frontier for each quality. The frontier is taken to be the best performance, observed either in an economy where we invest, a comparator economy or a theoretical value determined based on expert judgement.
If an observation for an economy exceeds the selected frontier, then the normalised value of the indicator is capped at the frontier value. For indicators where any deviation from the frontier is undesirable, values either below or above the frontier are treated similarly (the same score is computed and assigned to two observations that are equally distant from the frontier).
Aggregation
Normalised indicators are aggregated to a single composite index (by quality) using weights determined by expert judgement (see Table M.1 for details of weights). A simple weighted averaging method is used for aggregation.
The following tables show, for each quality, the components used in each quality index along with the indicators and data sources that were fed into the final assessments.
COMPETITIVE | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Components | Sub-components | Indicators | Source | Frontier economy | Frontier value | Worst performance |
Market structures [50%] | Applied tariff rates a (weighted average) [14%] | World Bank, World Development Indicators (WDI), International Trade Centre, Market Access Map, 2021 | Georgia | 0.85 | 17.89 | |
Subsidies expense a (share of GDP) [14%] | IMF, Government Finance Statistics, 2021 | Albania | 0.12 | 7.05 | ||
Resolving insolvency score [14%] | EBRD assessment, 2022 | United States of America | 88.38 | 38.33 | ||
Number of new business entries (scaled by population) [14%] | World Bank, WDI, 2020 | Estonia | 19.43 | 0.04 | ||
SME index adjusted (1 = worst, 10 = best) [14%] | EBRD assessment, 2019 | United Kingdom | 7.73 | 3.52 | ||
Competition Law, Institutions and Enforcement index adjusted (1 = worst, 10 = best) [14%] | EBRD assessment, 2019 | United Kingdom | 8.02 | 4.89 | ||
Share of advance business services in services exports [14%] | World Bank, WDI, 2021 | No economy was at the frontier in 2023 | 82.01 | 6.55 | ||
Capacity to generate value added [50%] | Economic Complexity Index [14%] | Harvard, Centre for International Development, 2019 | Japan | 2.27 | -1.67 | |
Knowledge economy index (KEI) adjusted (1 = worst, 10 = best) [14%] | EBRD assessment, 2019 | Sweden | 8.02 | 1.92 | ||
WB Logistics Performance Index (1 = worst, 5 = best) [14%] | World Bank, WDI, 2022 | Germany | 4.10 | 2.06 | ||
Skills [14%] | World Economic Forum (WEF) Global Competitiveness Index, 2019 | No economy was at the frontier in 2023 | 84.37 | 42.90 | ||
Labour productivity (output per worker, GDP in constant 2011 int. US$ PPP) [14%] | ILOSTAT, WDI, 2022 | United States | 112,078.29 | 12,136.45 | ||
Credit to private sector b (per cent of GDP) [14%] | World Bank, WDI, 2021 | Canada* | 100.00 | 10.34 | ||
Global value chain participation [14%] | UNCTAD, EBRD, 2018 | Slovak Republic | 0.81 | 0.31 |
WELL GOVERNED | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Components | Sub-components | Indicators | Source | Frontier economy | Frontier value | Worst performance |
National level governance [75%] | Quality of public governance [53%] | Regulatory quality (-2.5 = worst, 2.5 = best) [13%] | World Bank Governance Indicators, 2019 | No economy was at the frontier in 2023 | 1.76 | -2.10 |
Government effectiveness (-2.5 = worst, 2.5 = best) [13%] | World Bank Governance Indicators, 2019 | No economy was at the frontier in 2023 | 1.70 | -1.29 | ||
Budget transparency (1 = worst, 7 = best) [6%] | WEF Global Competitiveness Index, 2019 | No economy was at the frontier in 2023 | 92.31 | 3.00 | ||
Private property protection (1 = worst, 7 = best) [6%] | WEF Global Competitiveness Index, 2019 | Japan | 6.21 | 2.87 | ||
Intellectual property protection (1 = worst, 7 = best) [6%] | WEF Global Competitiveness Index, 2019 | Japan | 5.98 | 2.91 | ||
Burden of government regulation (1 = worst, 7 = best) [13%] | WEF Global Competitiveness Index, 2019 | Azerbaijan | 4.83 | 1.59 | ||
Political instability a [4%] | World Bank/EBRD BEEPS, 2018-20 | Montenegro | 0.01 | 0.96 | ||
Political stability and absence of violence and terrorism (-2.5 = worst, 2.5 = best) [4%] | World Bank Governance Indicators, 2019 | Sweden | 1.03 | -2.01 | ||
Political and operational stability [4%] | Global Innovation Index, 2019 | No economy was at the frontier in 2023 | 91.10 | 14.90 | ||
Government ensuring policy stability (1 = worst, 7 = best) [6%] | WEF Global Competitiveness Index, 2019 | Azerbaijan | 5.41 | 1.83 | ||
World press freedom index a (100 = least free, 0 = most free) [13%] | Reporters Without Borders, 2023 | Sweden | 87.84 | 8.82 | ||
E-government participation [7%] | WEF Global Competitiveness Index, 2019 | Japan | 0.99 | 0.07 | ||
Online services index [7%] | UNDESA, 2022 | Estonia | 0.98 | 0.09 | ||
Integrity and control of corruption [20%] | Corruption perception index (0 = highly corrupt, 100 = not corrupt) [43%] | Transparency International, 2023 | Sweden | 82.00 | 19.00 | |
Perception of corruption a [14%] | World Bank/EBRD BEEPS, 2018-20 | Sweden | 2.68 | 77.91 | ||
Informality a [14%] | World Bank/EBRD BEEPS, 2018-20 | Sweden | 0.00 | 63.38 | ||
Implementation of anti-money laundering (AML)/combating the financing of terrorism (CFT) and tax exchange standards a (0 = low risk, 10 = high risk) [29%] | International Centre for Asset Recovery, 2022 | Estonia | 3.12 | 8.30 | ||
Rule of law [27%] | Judicial independence (1 = worst, 7 = best) [22%] | WEF Global Competitiveness Index, 2019 | Japan | 6.19 | 1.99 | |
Efficiency of legal framework in settling disputes (1 = worst, 7 = best) [22%] | WEF Global Competitiveness Index, 2019 | No economy was at the frontier in 2023 | 5.35 | 1.86 | ||
Efficiency of legal framework in challenging regulations (1 = worst, 7 = best) [22%] | WEF Global Competitiveness Index, 2019 | No economy was at the frontier in 2023 | 5.04 | 1.79 | ||
Rule of law (-2.5 = worst, 2.5 = best) [22%] | World Bank Governance Indicators, 2019 | No economy was at the frontier in 2023 | 1.75 | -1.48 | ||
Effectiveness of courts a [11%] | World Bank/EBRD BEEPS, 2018-20 | Montenegro | 0.60 | 45.40 | ||
Corporate level governance [25%] | Corporate governance frameworks and practices [100%] | Structure and functioning of the board [20%] | EBRD Legal Transition Team (LTT) Corporate Governance Assessment, 2019 | Serbia* | 3.55 | 1.34 |
Transparency and disclosure [10%] | EBRD LTT Corporate Governance Assessment, 2019 | Lithuania* | 4.57 | 1.41 | ||
Internal control [20%] | EBRD LTT Corporate Governance Assessment, 2019 | Lithuania* | 4.03 | 1.33 | ||
Rights of shareholders [20%] | EBRD LTT Corporate Governance Assessment, 2019 | Latvia* | 4.15 | 1.99 | ||
Stakeholders and institutions [20%] | EBRD LTT Corporate Governance Assessment, 2019 | Estonia* | 4.13 | 0.98 | ||
Strength of auditing and reporting standards (1 = worst, 7 = best) [10%] | WEF Global Competitiveness Index, 2019 | No economy was at the frontier in 2023 | 5.97 | 3.33 |
GREEN | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Components | Sub-components | Indicators | Source | Frontier economy | Frontier value | Worst performance |
Mitigation [35%] | Physical indicators [37%] | Electricity production from renewable sources, including hydroelectric (per cent of total) [17%] | World Bank, International Energy Agency (IEA), 2022 | Albania | 0.97 | 0.00 |
Value added from industry (construction, manufacturing, mining, electricity, water and gas) per unit of CO2 emissions from industry (GVA (US$)/total CO2) [17%] | World Bank, IEA, 2020 | Sweden | 47,005.28 | 513.44 | ||
MWh consumed per tonne of CO2 emitted from electricity and heat generation (MWh/total CO2) [17%] | World Bank, IEA, 2020 | Albania | 34.36 | 0.49 | ||
GDP per tonne of CO2 emitted from residential buildings (from fuel combustion) (GDP(US$)/total CO2) [17%] | World Bank, IEA, 2020 | Sweden | 260,431.65 | 1,314.96 | ||
Number of registered vehicles per tonne of CO2 emitted from transport [17%] | World Health Organization (WHO), IEA, 2016 | Turkmenistan | 9.32 | 1.46 | ||
Agricultural sector GVA per tonne of GHG emissions from agriculture (GVA (US$) / total CO2eq) [17%] | World Bank, Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations (FAO), 2020 | No economy was at the frontier in 2023 | 2,516.34 | 43.02 | ||
Structural indicators [63%] | Market support mechanism for renewable energy production (0 = no support, 0.5 = regulatory support, 1 = revenue support) [20%] | IEA, 2022 | Canada* | 1.00 | 0.00 | |
INDC rating (0 for no INDC. 0.5 for INDC but not ratified. 1 for ratified INDC) [20%] | World Resources Institute (WRI), CAIT, 2022 | Canada* | 1.00 | 0.00 | ||
Carbon price (0 = worst, 1 = best) [20%] | World Bank, 2021 | No economy was at the frontier in 2023 | 1.00 | 0.00 | ||
Fossil fuel subsidies (per cent of GDP) a [20%] | IMF, 2022 | Sweden | -0.28 | -45.49 | ||
Just Transition Plan [20%] | EBRD assessment, 2021 | Germany | 1.00 | 0.00 | ||
Adaptation [30%] | Physical indicators [45%] | NDGAIN human habitat score a [25%] | Notre Dame Global Adaptation Initiative, 2019 | Egypt | -0.34 | -0.63 |
Aqueduct water stress index a [25%] | WRI, 2019 | Croatia | -0.18 | -4.82 | ||
NDGAIN projected change in cereal yield a [25%] | Notre Dame Global Adaptation Initiative, 2019 | Canada* | 0.00 | -0.98 | ||
Number of people affected by droughts, extreme temperatures, floods and wildfires in the last 10 years a (per 100,000 people ) [25%] | EM-DAT database, 2022 | Jordan | -6.42 | -866,271.76 | ||
Structural indicators [55%] | NDGAIN agricultural capacity a [20%] | Notre Dame Global Adaptation Initiative, 2019 | Uzbekistan* | -0.13 | -0.99 | |
World Governance Indicators: Institutional Quality ( -2.5 = worst, 2.5 = best) [40%] | World Bank, World Governance Indicators, 2019 | Sweden* | 1.82 | -1.61 | ||
Adaptation in INDCs (1 = there is a National Adaptation Plan, 0.5 = adaption is mentioned in INDCs, 0 = none of the above) [40%] | CGSpace, CGIAR, 2022 | Czech Republic* | 1.00 | 0.00 | ||
Other environmental areas [30%] | Physical indicators [37%] | Population weighted mean annual exposure to PM2.5 a [22%] | Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD), 2019 | Estonia* | 5.95 | 88.21 |
Waste intensive consumption (kg municipal solid waste/US$ household expenditure) a [22%] | Waste Atlas, 2015 | Japan | 0.01 | 0.33 | ||
Waste generation per capita (kg/cap) a [22%] | Waste Atlas, 2015 | Armenia | 149.70 | 777.00 | ||
Number of animal (terrestrial and marine) species threatened as proportion of total number assessed a [17%] | IUNC Red list, 2020 | Estonia* | 0.04 | 0.18 | ||
Number of plant (terrestrial and marine) species threatened normalised by total number assessed a [17%] | IUNC Red list, 2020 | Mongolia | 0.00 | 0.27 | ||
Structural indicators [63%] | Vehicle emission standards (0 = worst, 6 = best) [34%] | UN Environment Programme, 2021 | Bulgaria* | 6.00 | 0.00 | |
Municipal solid waste collected (per cent of total generated) [34%] | Waste Atlas, 2015 | Czech Republic* | 100.00 | 20.00 | ||
Proportion of terrestrial protected area (per cent of total area) [16%] | World Bank, 2022 | Bulgaria | 40.59 | 0.22 | ||
Proportion of marine protected areas (per cent of total area) [16%] | World Bank, 2022 | No economy was at the frontier in 2023 | 213.43 | 0.00 | ||
Cross-cutting [5%] | Number of environmental technology patents (per cent of GDP (billion US$)) [100%] | OECD, 2017 | Japan | 0.97 | 0.00 |
INCLUSIVE | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Components | Sub-components | Indicators | Source | Frontier economy | Frontier value | Worst performance |
Human capital development [33%] | Labour force participation rate (% of population aged 15+) [11%] | ILOSTAT, modelled estimates, 2023 | No economy was at the frontier in 2023 | 70.33 | 38.94 | |
Labour force participation rate (gap women/men) [11%] | ILOSTAT, modelled estimates, 2023 | No economy was at the frontier in 2023 | 1.00 | 0.21 | ||
Output per worker (GDP constant 2017 international $ in PPP) [11%] | ILOSTAT, 2022 | No economy was at the frontier in 2023 | 131,111.92 | 12,136.45 | ||
Youth not in education, employment or training (% of youth population) a [11%] | ILOSTAT, 2022 | No economy was at the frontier in 2023 | 2.97 | 38.44 | ||
Human Capital Index [11%] | World Bank, WDI, 2021 | No economy was at the frontier in 2023 | 0.84 | 0.41 | ||
Firms offering formal training to employees (% firms) [11%] | World Bank, WDI, 2019 | No economy was at the frontier in 2023 | 70.30 | 3.40 | ||
Individuals with standard ICT skills (% of population aged 15+) [11%] | International Telecommunications Union (ITU), 2020 | No economy was at the frontier in 2023 | 47.17 | 2.85 | ||
Workers employed in occupations at risk of automating (%) a [11%] | OECD, EBRD calculations, 2019 | Jordan | 0.38 | 0.53 | ||
Workers employed in carbon-intensive sectors (%) a [11%] | Bruegel, EBRD calculations, 2019 | No economy was at the frontier in 2023 | 0.03 | 0.14 | ||
Access to finance and services [33%] | Saving at financial institutions (% of population aged 15+) [14%] | World Bank Financial Inclusion Database (FINDEX), 2021 | Sweden | 79.74 | 0.12 | |
Borrowing from financial institutions (% of population aged 15+) [14%] | World Bank FINDEX, 2021 | No economy was at the frontier in 2023 | 82.83 | 0.84 | ||
Fixed broadband subscriptions (% of population) [14%] | ITU, 2021 | France | 48.76 | 0.06 | ||
Cost of a 5GB fixed broadband basket (% GNI per capita) a [14%] | ITU, 2021 | Croatia | 2.00 | -12.08 | ||
Logistics performance index: Quality of trade and transport-related infrastructure [14%] | World Bank, WDI, 2022 | No economy was at the frontier in 2023 | 4.44 | 1.90 | ||
Using safely managed drinking water services (% of population) [14%] | World Bank, WDI, 2020 | Greece | 100.00 | 28.64 | ||
Using safely managed sanitation services (% population) [14%] | World Bank, WDI, 2020 | No economy was at the frontier in 2023 | 98.31 | 12.18 | ||
Policies and norms [33%] | Social benefit spending by the government (% of GDP) [20%] | IMF IFS, 2021 | No economy was at the frontier in 2023 | 28.75 | 2.50 | |
Equal treatment and absence of discrimination [20%] | World Justice Project, 2022 | No economy was at the frontier in 2023 | 0.84 | 0.34 | ||
Women, Business and the Law composite score [20%] | WDI, 2022 | Canada* | 100.00 | 26.25 | ||
Disagreeing that “it is better for everyone involved if the man earns the money and the woman takes care of the home and children” (% population) [20%] | LiTs, 2016 | Canada* | 0.92 | 0.05 | ||
Women subjected to physical and/or sexual violence in the last 12 months (% female population) a [20%] | WDI, 2016 | Slovenia | 2.00 | 28.80 |
RESILIENT | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Components | Sub-components | Indicators | Source | Frontier economy | Frontier value | Worst performance |
Energy sector resilience [30%] | Liberalisation and market liquidity [50%] | Sector restructuring, corporatisation and unbundling (0 = worst, 0.67 = best) [33%] | EBRD assessment, 2022 | Estonia* | 0.67 | 0.00 |
Fostering private-sector participation (0 = worst, 0.67 = best) [33%] | EBRD assessment, 2022 | United States* | 0.67 | 0.00 | ||
Tariff reform (0 = worst, 0.67 = best) [33%] | EBRD assessment, 2022 | Czech Republic* | 0.67 | 0.00 | ||
System connectivity [20%] | Domestic connectivity (0 = worst, 0.67 = best) [35%] | EBRD assessment, 2022 | Czech Republic* | 0.67 | 0.09 | |
Inter-country connectivity (0 = worst, 0.67 = best) [65%] | EBRD assessment, 2022 | Germany* | 0.67 | 0.00 | ||
Regulation and legal framework [30%] | Development of an adequate legal framework (0 = worst, 0.67 = best) [50%] | EBRD assessment, 2022 | Czech Republic* | 0.67 | 0.00 | |
Establishment of an empowered independent energy regulator (0 = worst, 0.67 = best) [50%] | EBRD assessment, 2022 | Czech Republic* | 0.67 | 0.00 | ||
Financial stability [70%] | Banking sector health and intermediation [50%] | Capital adequacy ratio [9%] | IMF Financial Soundness Indicators (FSI), IMF Article IV, IHS Markit, National Authorities, Fitch Ratings’ Sovereign Data Comparator, EBRD FI Risk Reports, 2022 | Moldova* | 0.28 | 0.06 |
Return on assets [9%] | IMF FSI, IMF Article IV, IHS Markit, National Authorities, Fitch Ratings’ Sovereign Data Comparator, EBRD FI Risk Reports, 2022 | Türkiye | 4.20 | -12.47 | ||
Loan to deposits ratio c [9%] | IMF FSI, IMF Article IV, IHS Markit, National Authorities, Fitch Ratings’ Sovereign Data Comparator, EBRD FI Risk Reports, 2022 | No economy was at the frontier in 2023 | 1.00 | 0.33 | ||
Non-performing loans (NPLs) to total gross loans (per cent) a [9%] | IMF FSI, IMF Article IV, IHS Markit, National Authorities, Fitch Ratings’ Sovereign Data Comparator, S&P BICRA, EBRD FI Risk Reports, 2022 | Canada* | 0.50 | 54.82 | ||
Loan loss reserves to NPLs (Provisions to NPLs) b [9%] | IMF FSI, IHS Markit, National Authorities, EBRD FI Risk Reports, 2022 | United States* | 100.00 | 15.14 | ||
Asset share of five largest banks a [9%] | World Bank Global Financial Development Database (GFDD), IMF FSSA, EBRD FI Risk Reports, 2021 | Japan | 43.88 | 100.00 | ||
Asset share of private banks [9%] | World Bank GFDD, EBRD FI Risk Reports, IMF Article IV, IMF FSSA, Bank Focus, 2021 | Canada* | 100.00 | 0.00 | ||
Financial sector assets c (per cent of GDP) [9%] | IMF FSI, EBRD, Internal Sovereign Risk Report, Bank Focus, National Authorities, IHS Markit, 2021 | Albania | 100.00 | 28.00 | ||
Credit to private sector c (per cent of GDP) [9%] | World Bank GFDD, S&P BICRA, IMF Article IV, WDI, 2022 | No economy was at the frontier in 2023 | 80.00 | 4.02 | ||
Foreign currency-denominated loans a (per cent of total loans) [9%] | IMF FSI, IMF Article IV, IHS Markit, National Authorities, 2022 | United States* | 0.00 | -98.65 | ||
Liquid assets to short-term liabilities (per cent) [9%] | IMF FSI, World Bank GFDD, IMF Article IV, National Authorities, EBRD FI Risk Overview, 2022 | United States* | 241.80 | 15.54 | ||
Alternative sources of financing [32%] | Other financial corporation’s assets b (per cent of GDP) [14%] | IMF FSI, World Bank GFDD, IMF Article IV, National Authorities, EBRD FI Risk Overview, IMF FSSA, AFDB, 2022 | Canada* | 100.00 | 0.32 | |
Legal environment for financial transactions [14%] | ISDA, ICMA, 2020 | United States* | 2.50 | 0.00 | ||
Capital market infrastructure [14%] | EBRD assessment, 2020 | United States* | 1.00 | 0.00 | ||
Investor base [14%] | OECD, IMF, Bloomberg, Swiss RE, WEF, IMF, ECB, S&P (SNL), 2020 | No economy was at the frontier in 2023 | 0.92 | 0.00 | ||
Market capitalisation b [5%] | WEF, IMF, Bloomberg, local stock exchanges, 2020 | United States* | 100.00 | 0.00 | ||
Trading to market cap b [5%] | WEF, IMF, Bloomberg, local stock exchanges, 2020 | United States* | 100.00 | 0.00 | ||
IPO b [5%] | WEF, IMF, Bloomberg, local stock exchanges, 2020 | No economy was at the frontier in 2023 | 0.10 | 0.00 | ||
FI debt b [4%] | Cbonds, IMF, 2020 | United States* | 0.10 | 0.00 | ||
Non-FI debt b [4%] | Cbonds, IMF, 2020 | United States* | 0.15 | 0.00 | ||
Debt diversity [7%] | Vanguard Investment, ICMA, 2020 | United States | 7.00 | 0.00 | ||
Money market quality [14%] | EBRD assessment, 2020 | United States* | 1.00 | 0.00 | ||
Regulation governance and safety nets [18%] | Is there a well-functioning deposit insurance scheme? (1 = worst, 10 = best) [25%] | EBRD assessment, 2020 | Czech Republic* | 10.00 | 1.00 | |
Do the banks have good risk management and corporate governance practices? (1 = worst, 10 = best) [25%] | EBRD assessment, 2020 | Czech Republic* | 10.00 | 1.00 | ||
Is there an adequate legal and regulatory framework in place? (1 = worst, 10 = best) [25%] | EBRD assessment, 2020 | Czech Republic* | 10.00 | 1.00 | ||
Is the supervisory body independent and competent? (1 = worst, 10 = best) [25%] | EBRD assessment, 2020 | Czech Republic* | 10.00 | 1.00 |
INTEGRATED | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Components | Sub-components | Indicators | Source | Frontier economy | Frontier value | Worst performance |
External integration [50%] | Trade openness [33%] | Total trade volume (per cent of GDP, five-year moving average) [50%] | World Bank, WDI, 2022 | Slovak Republic | 186.08 | 25.26 |
Number of Regional Trade Agreements [17%] | World Trade Organization (WTO), 2022 | Czech Republic | 46.00 | 1.00 | ||
Binding overhang ratio a, b (%) [17%] | WTO, 2021 | Germany* | 0.00 | 142.30 | ||
Number of non-tariff measures a [17%] | WTO, 2021 | No economy was at the frontier in 2023 | 0.00 | -5,439.00 | ||
Investment openness [33%] | FDI net inflows (per cent of GDP, five-year moving average) [50%] | IMF, International Investment Position Statistics, 2022 | Hungary* | 0.10 | -0.01 | |
Number of bilateral investment agreements [25%] | UNCTAD, 2022 | No economy was at the frontier in 2023 | 183.00 | 8.00 | ||
FDI Restrictiveness indicator a [25%] | OECD, 2020 | Slovenia | 0.01 | 0.29 | ||
Portfolio openness [33%] | Non-FDI inflows (per cent of GDP, five-year moving average) [50%] | IMF, International Investment Position Statistics, 2022 | Cyprus | 0.06 | -0.02 | |
Financial openness index (Chinn-Ito) [50%] | Chinn-Ito webpage, 2020 | United States* | 2.31 | -1.93 | ||
Internal integration [50%] | Domestic transport [33%] | Road connectivity a [25%] | EBRD assessment, 2019 | United States | 107.53 | 309.27 |
Quality of non-road transport infrastructure [25%] | WEF Global Competitiveness Index, 2019 | Japan | 89.92 | 24.25 | ||
Competence and quality of logistics services (1 = worst, 5 = best) [13%] | World Bank, LPI database, 2022 | No economy was at the frontier in 2023 | 4.31 | 1.96 | ||
Tracking and tracing of consignments (1 = worst, 5 = best) [13%] | World Bank, LPI database, 2022 | No economy was at the frontier in 2023 | 4.38 | 1.84 | ||
Timeliness of shipments (1 = worst, 5 = best) [13%] | World Bank, LPI database, 2022 | No economy was at the frontier in 2023 | 4.45 | 2.04 | ||
Proportion of products lost to breakage or spoilage during shipping a [13%] | World Bank/EBRD BEEPS, 2018-20 | Estonia | 0.00 | -1.70 | ||
Cross-border transport [33%] | Quality of customs and border management, trade and transport infrastructure and ease of arranging shipments (1 = worst, 5 = best) [50%] | World Bank, LPI database, 2022 | No economy was at the frontier in 2023 | 4.14 | 1.95 | |
Cost of trading across borders [50%] | ESCAP – World Bank trade cost database, 2020 | No economy was at the frontier in 2023 | 107.97 | 392.08 | ||
Energy and ICT [33%] | Quality of electricity supply (1 = worst, 7 = best) [25%] | WEF Global Competitiveness Index, 2017 | No economy was at the frontier in 2023 | 6.78 | 1.65 | |
Electric power transmission and distribution losses as percentage of domestic supply a [25%] | IEA, 2019 | No economy was at the frontier in 2023 | 2.34 | 23.73 | ||
Broadband subscription (per 100 habitants) [13%] | ITU, 2021 | France | 48.76 | 0.06 | ||
Number of internet users (per cent of population) [13%] | ITU, 2021 | No economy was at the frontier in 2023 | 96.97 | 19.80 | ||
Level of competition for internet services (50 = monopoly, 75 = partially competitive, 100 = competitive) [6%] | World Bank, The Little Data Book 2017 | Canada* | 100.00 | 50.00 | ||
Mobile broadband basket price a [6%] | ITU, 2022 | Lithuania | 0.07 | 3.73 | ||
International internet bandwidth per internet user [6%] | ITU, 2021 | Bulgaria* | 336,635.01 | 0.00 | ||
4G coverage (per cent of population) [6%] | ITU, 2021 | Poland* | 100.00 | 80.00 |
* Additional economies are at the frontier. Further information is available on request.
a Inverted before normalisation.
b Capped at frontier.
c Mirrored from frontier.